Acting under Uncertainty Multidisciplinary Conceptions

Acting under Uncertainty Multidisciplinary Conceptions / edited by George M. von Furstenberg.

Uncertainty could be associated with wisdom, enterprise, and discovery. In ordinary speech, however, it has mostly negative connotations. There is "fear of the unknown" and "ignorance is bliss;" there are maxims to the effect that "what you don't know doesn't hurt...

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
Other Authors: von Furstenberg, George M. (Editor)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands : Imprint: Springer, 1990.
Edition:1st ed. 1990.
Series:Theory and Decision Library A:, Rational Choice in Practical Philosophy and Philosophy of Science, 13
Springer eBook Collection.
Subjects:
Microeconomics.
Operations research.
Decision making.
Environmental economics.
Electronic resources (E-books)
Online Access:Click to view e-book
Holy Cross Note:Loaded electronically.
Electronic access restricted to members of the Holy Cross Community.
Table of Contents:
  • I. The Evolution of Scientific Conceptions of Uncertainty and Their Social Underpinnings
  • 1. Coping with Uncertainty in Natural Science: 1200–1700
  • 2. Political, Moral, and Economic Decisions and the Origins of the Mathematical Theory of Probability: The Case of Jacob Bernoulli’s The Art of Conjecturing
  • 3. The Quantification of Uncertainty After 1700: Statistics Socially Constructed?
  • 4. Uncertainty and the Conditioning of Beliefs
  • 5. The Unity of Probability
  • 6. Necessity, Chance, and Freedom
  • II. Risk Analysis and Social Responsibility
  • 7. Risk in Cultural Perspective
  • 8. Statistical Hypothesis Tests and Statistical Power in Pure and Applied Science
  • 9. Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment
  • 10. Uncertainty in Morals and Politics
  • III. Learning and Acting Under Uncertainty
  • 11. Re-Modeling Risk Aversion: A Comparison of Bernoullian and Rank Dependent Value Approaches
  • 12. Neither Gullible Nor Unteachable Be: Signal Extraction and the Optimal Speed of Learning from Uncertain News
  • 13. Rethinking Rational Expectations
  • 14. Multiattribute Decision Models: Task Order and Group Effects
  • IV. Coping With Extreme Forms of Uncertainty
  • 15. Measuring Vague Uncertainties and Understanding Their Use in Decision Making
  • 16. Quantifying Vagueness and Possibility: New Trends in Knowledge Representation
  • 17. Chaos and Complexity in Economic and Financial Science
  • 18. Information.

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