The Option-iPoD : the probability of default implied by option prices based on entropy / prepared by Christian Capuano.

We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and leverage,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Capuano, Christian, 1975- (Author)
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2008.
©2008
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/08/194.
Subjects:
Online Access:Click for online access

MARC

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100 1 |a Capuano, Christian,  |d 1975-  |e author.  |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjF4fYdyVDYdwb8bV9bJH3 
245 1 4 |a The Option-iPoD :  |b the probability of default implied by option prices based on entropy /  |c prepared by Christian Capuano. 
260 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2008. 
264 4 |c ©2008 
300 |a 1 online resource (29 pages) :  |b color illustrations 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
490 1 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/08/194 
588 0 |a Print version record. 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 23-24). 
520 3 |a We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and leverage, and on the Greek letters (delta, gamma, and vega). We show how to extend the framework by using information from the price of zero-coupon bond and CDS-spreads. In the episode of the collapse of Bear Stearns, option-iPoD was able to early signal market sentiment. 
505 0 |a Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. The Problem -- III. Solution -- IV. What can Equity Options Say About Default? -- V. Empirical Implementation -- VI. Results -- VII. Listen to Option -iPoD. The Collapse of Bear Stearns -- VIII. Caveats -- IX. Zero-Coupon Option-iPoD -- X. Conclusions -- Tables -- 1. Option Contracts Cycles -- 2. Citigroup, Strikes, Volume and Weights -- 3. Citigroup: Summary of Results -- 4. Citigropu: Leverage-at-Risk -- Figures -- 1. Citigroup, February 12, 2008: Option -iPoD and the Probability Density Function -- 2. Citigroup: Term-Structure of Option -iPoD on February 12, 2008 -- 3. Citigroup: Expected Balance Sheet Developments on February 12, 2008 -- 4. Moody's KMV Expected Default Frequency in One Year -- 5. Listen to Option -iPoD. The Collapse of Bear Stearns -- 6. Bear Stearns, March 14, 2008: Option -iPoD and the Probability Density Function -- Appendices -- 1. Results From The Ten Largest U.S. Financial Institutions -- 2. Extension with Zero-Coupon Bond -- References. 
650 0 |a Default (Finance)  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Options (Finance)  |x Prices  |x Econometric models. 
650 7 |a Default (Finance)  |x Econometric models  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Options (Finance)  |x Prices  |x Econometric models  |2 fast 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Monetary and Capital Markets Department. 
758 |i has work:  |a The Option-iPoD (Text)  |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGH6WCm9GhJKgmx3kRpC6X  |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Capuano, Christian, 1975-  |t Option-iPoD.  |d Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2008  |w (OCoLC)316328712 
830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/08/194. 
856 4 0 |u https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/holycrosscollege-ebooks/detail.action?docID=1605841  |y Click for online access 
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