On the sources of oil price fluctuations / prepared by Deren Unalmis, Ibrahim Unalmis, and D. Filiz Unsal.

Analyzing macroeconomic impacts of oil price changes requires first to investigate different sources of these changes and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggregate demand shock, and a precautionary oil demand shock. The paper's aim is to mod...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Unalmis, Deren (Author), Unalmis, Ibrahim (Author), Unsal, D. Filiz (Author)
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Department
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009.
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/09/285.
Subjects:
Online Access:Click for online access
Table of Contents:
  • Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Small Open Economy Model; 1. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Behavioral Equations for SOE; A. Households; B. Firms; C. Monetary and Fiscal Policy; D. Equilibrium; III. Rest of the World and the Oil Market; A. Equilibrium in the Rest of the World; 2. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Behavioral Equations for the ROW and the Oil Market; 3. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Parameters; 4. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Exogenous Processes; B. Oil Market Equilibrium; IV. Impulse Response Analysis.
  • 5. Parameters Values Used in CalibrationA. Aggregate Demand Shocks; B. Oil Supply Shock; C. Precautionary Demand Shock; V. Conclusions; Appendix: Equilibrium Conditions; A. Households and Goods Market Equilibrium in SOE; B. Marginal Cost and Inflation Dynamics; C. Rest of the World and Oil Market Equilibrium; 1. Impulse Responses to 1 Percent Labor Productivity Shock; 2. Impulse Responses to 1 Percent Government Spending Shock; 3. Impulse Responses to 10 Percent Negative Oil Supply Shock; 4. Impulse Responses to 10 Percent Expected Negative Oil Supply Shock; References; Footnotes.