Fiscal policy and interest rates : how sustainable is the "new economy"? / prepared by David Hauner and Manmohan S. Kumar.

This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deterioratin...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hauner, David (Author), Kumar, Manmohan S. (Author)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, IMF Institute, 2006.
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/06/112.
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Online Access:Click for online access
Description
Summary:This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deteriorating fiscal position in the G-7 economies and enquires which factors could have offset their impact on long-term interest rates, and how sustainable they are likely to be. A model of interest rate determination is elaborated and estimated for the G-7, with explicit emphasis on capital flows and public savings. The results suggest a high likelihood of a substantial impact of the weaker budgetary positions in the G-7 on global interest rates when the offsetting unprecedented capital flows slow down.
Physical Description:1 online resource (32 pages)
Format:Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN:1283514915
9781283514910
9781451909067
1451909063