The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections.

An intriguing phenomenon in American electoral politics is the loss of seats by the president's party in midterm congressional elections. Between 1862 and 1990, the president's party lost seats in the House of Representatives in 32 of the 33 midterm elections. In his new study, James Campb...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Campbell, James E., 1952-
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Lexington : The University Press of Kentucky, 2015.
Subjects:
Online Access:Click for online access

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245 1 4 |a The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections. 
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505 0 |a Cover; Title; Copyright; Contents; List of Tables and Figures; Acknowledgments; Introduction; Part 1. Theories of Midterm Elections; 1 The Midterm Question; 2 The Premises of Surge and Decline; 3 The Propositions and Evidence of Surge and Decline; 4 The Theory of the Midterm Referendum; Part 2. The Presidential Pulse; 5 The Revised Theory of Surge and Decline; 6 Evidence from National Elections; 7 Evidence in Congressional Districts; 8 Evidence in the Electorate; 9 Surge and Decline in Subpresidential Elections; 10 The Presidential Pulse in the 1990s; 11 Reflections on the Presidential Pulse. 
505 8 |a Appendix 1 Presidential Vote and House-Seat RegressionsAppendix 2 Robust Regression of National Evidence; Notes; References; Index; A; B; C; D; E; F; G; H; I; J; K; L; M; N; O; P; R; S; T; U; V; W; Y; Z. 
520 |a An intriguing phenomenon in American electoral politics is the loss of seats by the president's party in midterm congressional elections. Between 1862 and 1990, the president's party lost seats in the House of Representatives in 32 of the 33 midterm elections. In his new study, James Campbell examines explanations for these midterm losses and explores how presidential elections influence congressional elections. After reviewing the two major theories of midterm electoral change-the ""surge and decline"" theory and the theory of midterms as referenda on presidential performance Campbell draws up. 
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