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Principles of Uncertainty
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Principles of Uncertainty
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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:
Kadane, Joseph B.
Format:
eBook
Language:
English
Published:
Milton :
CRC Press LLC,
2020.
Edition:
2nd ed.
Series:
Chapman and Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science Ser.
Subjects:
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Mathematical statistics.
Online Access:
Click for online access
Holdings
Description
Table of Contents
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Table of Contents:
Cover
Half Title
Title Page
Copyright Page
Dedication
Table of Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
Foreword
Preface
1 Probability
1.1 Avoiding being a sure loser
1.1.1 Interpretation
1.1.2 Notes and other views
1.1.3 Summary
1.1.4 Exercises
1.2 Disjoint events
1.2.1 Summary
1.2.2 A supplement on induction
1.2.3 A supplement on indexed mathematical expressions
1.2.4 Intersections of events
1.2.5 Summary
1.2.6 Exercises
1.3 Events not necessarily disjoint
1.3.1 A supplement on proofs of set inclusion
1.3.2 Boole's Inequality
1.3.3 Summary
1.3.4 Exercises
1.4 Random variables, also known as uncertain quantities
1.4.1 Summary
1.4.2 Exercises
1.5 Finite number of values
1.5.1 Summary
1.5.2 Exercises
1.6 Other properties of expectation
1.6.1 Summary
1.6.2 Exercises
1.7 Coherence implies not a sure loser
1.7.1 Summary
1.7.2 Exercises
1.8 Expectations and limits
1.8.1 A supplement on limits
1.8.2 Resuming the discussion of expectations and limits
1.8.3 Reference
1.8.4 Exercises
2 Conditional Probability and Bayes Theorem
2.1 Conditional probability
2.1.1 Summary
2.1.2 Exercises
2.2 The birthday problem
2.2.1 Exercises
2.2.2 A supplement on computing
2.2.3 References
2.2.4 Exercises
2.3 Simpson's Paradox
2.3.1 Notes
2.3.2 Exercises
2.4 Bayes Theorem
2.4.1 Notes and other views
2.4.2 Exercises
2.5 Independence of events
2.5.1 Summary
2.5.2 Exercises
2.6 The Monty Hall problem
2.6.1 Exercises
2.7 Gambler's Ruin problem
2.7.1 Changing stakes
2.7.2 Summary
2.7.3 References
2.7.4 Exercises
2.8 Iterated expectations and independence
2.8.1 Summary
2.8.2 Exercises
2.9 The binomial and multinomial distributions
2.9.1 Refining and coarsening
2.9.2 Why these distributions have these names
2.9.3 Summary
2.9.4 Exercises
2.10 Sampling without replacement
2.10.1 Polya's Urn Scheme
2.10.2 Summary
2.10.3 References
2.10.4 Exercises
2.11 Variance and covariance
2.11.1 An application of the Cauchy-Schwarz Inequality
2.11.2 Remark
2.11.3 Summary
2.11.4 Exercises
2.12 A short introduction to multivariate thinking
2.12.1 A supplement on vectors and matrices
2.12.2 Least squares
2.12.3 A limitation of correlation in expressing negative association between non-independent random variables
2.12.4 Covariance matrices
2.12.5 Conditional variances and covariances
2.12.6 Summary
2.12.7 Exercises
2.13 Tchebychev's Inequality
2.13.1 Interpretations
2.13.2 Summary
2.13.3 Exercises
3 Discrete Random Variables
3.1 Countably many possible values
3.1.1 A supplement on in nity
3.1.2 Notes
3.1.3 Summary
3.1.4 Exercises
3.2 Finite additivity
3.2.1 Summary
3.2.2 References
3.2.3 Exercises
3.3 Countable additivity
3.3.1 Summary
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